Back
MTL
4-2
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.76
BUF xG1.61
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%99.6
BUF Win%0.4
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve52.4%
BUF Deserve47.6%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.5%Possession51.5%
31Shots on Goal38
70.2%Faceoff Win %29.8%
29Hits24
11Blocked Shots21
5Takeaways4
13Giveaways16
8Penalty Minutes6
Live Feed
3P • 19:12Goal
O. Kapanen
Assists: N. Dobson
wrist
3P • 10:13Goal
C. Caufield
Assists: N. Suzuki, K. Dach
snap
3P • 04:14Goal
C. Caufield
Assists: N. Dobson, L. Hutson
tip-in
2P • 18:58Goal
N. Ostlund
Assists: A. Tuch, B. Byram
slap
2P • 07:36Goal
O. Power
Assists: T. Thompson, R. Dahlin
wrist
1P • 11:20Goal
J. Slafkovský
Assists: N. Suzuki, C. Caufield
wrist
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 B. GallagherR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10:18 | |
C. CaufieldR | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15:39 | |
 N. SuzukiC | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:52 | |
 J. AndersonR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | |
J. SlafkovskýL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 17:26 | |
 P. DanaultC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18:13 | |
 J. EvansC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:33 | |
 Z. BolducR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:10 | |
 K. DachC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:29 | |
 J. VelenoC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:33 | |
O. KapanenC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17:28 | |
 I. DemidovR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16:49 | |
 M. MathesonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 27:33 | |
 K. GuhleD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:29 | |
 A. CarrierD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20:28 | |
 L. HutsonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:10 | |
 N. DobsonD | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20:32 | |
 A. XhekajD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 07:09 |