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CBJ
5-3
STL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CBJ xG0.62
STL xG0.76
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CBJ Win%99.6
STL Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CBJ Deserve51.6%
STL Deserve48.4%
CBJ Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
47.3%Possession52.7%
23Shots on Goal33
47.4%Faceoff Win %52.6%
20Hits21
11Blocked Shots11
5Takeaways3
15Giveaways17
8Penalty Minutes4




















