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TOR
3-2
VAN
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TOR xG1.52
VAN xG0.75
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TOR Win%100.0
VAN Win%0.0
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TOR Deserve59.2%
VAN Deserve40.8%
TOR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
53.0%Possession47.0%
43Shots on Goal31
50.0%Faceoff Win %50.0%
17Hits14
25Blocked Shots11
4Takeaways7
15Giveaways19
2Penalty Minutes2



















