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DAL
3-2
UTA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
DAL xG1.12
UTA xG0.54
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
DAL Win%89.0
UTA Win%11.0
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
DAL Deserve58.2%
UTA Deserve41.8%
DAL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
63.4%Possession36.6%
32Shots on Goal14
56.9%Faceoff Win %43.1%
25Hits18
11Blocked Shots14
4Takeaways4
10Giveaways18
6Penalty Minutes10


















