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BOS
5-6
TBL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BOS xG0.94
TBL xG1.32
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BOS Win%0.0
TBL Win%100.0
8 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BOS Deserve43.6%
TBL Deserve56.4%
TBL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
44.8%Possession55.2%
35Shots on Goal48
42.6%Faceoff Win %57.4%
20Hits22
13Blocked Shots19
2Takeaways5
14Giveaways19
25Penalty Minutes15























