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VGK
3-4
ANA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VGK xG0.81
ANA xG0.61
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VGK Win%1.3
ANA Win%98.7
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VGK Deserve46.8%
ANA Deserve53.2%
ANA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.0%Possession50.0%
31Shots on Goal23
48.4%Faceoff Win %51.6%
17Hits28
17Blocked Shots11
3Takeaways6
20Giveaways15
4Penalty Minutes4




















