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BUF
5-3
FLA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.75
FLA xG1.15
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%99.6
FLA Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve48.1%
FLA Deserve51.9%
FLA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
44.6%Possession55.4%
20Shots on Goal42
49.2%Faceoff Win %50.8%
23Hits22
13Blocked Shots22
2Takeaways7
17Giveaways17
8Penalty Minutes6
Live Feed
3P • 17:51Goal
J. Doan
Assists: P. Krebs, R. McLeod
wrist
3P • 05:31Goal
J. Zucker
Assists: J. Doan, J. Quinn
wrist
2P • 18:59Goal
U. Balinskis
Assists: S. Reinhart, C. Verhaeghe
snap
2P • 05:44Goal
Z. Benson
Assists: R. McLeod, O. Power
wrist
1P • 18:26Goal
P. Krebs
Assists: R. Dahlin, A. Tuch
backhand
1P • 15:03Goal
T. Thompson
Assists: P. Krebs, R. Dahlin
snap
1P • 05:54Goal
E. Rodrigues
Assists: S. Reinhart, T. Bjornfot
wrist
1P • 00:37Goal
S. Vilmanis
Assists: A. Greer, N. Mikkola
wrist
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Z. BensonL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | |
J. ZuckerL | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16:00 | |
P. KrebsC | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19:27 | |
 J. QuinnR | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16:13 | |
 B. MalenstynL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 08:04 | |
 T. KozakC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | |
 I. RosenR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 03:08 | |
 R. McLeodC | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16:54 | |
T. ThompsonC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 20:14 | |
 N. OstlundC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:15 | |
 A. TuchR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22:27 | |
J. DoanR | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16:22 | |
 B. ByramD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22:54 | |
 M. KesselringD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:48 | |
 M. SamuelssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27:26 | |
 O. PowerD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:17 | |
 R. DahlinD | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21:54 | |
 Z. MetsaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 07:30 |