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OTT
3-2
PIT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
OTT xG1.37
PIT xG0.95
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
OTT Win%94.7
PIT Win%5.3
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
OTT Deserve60.1%
PIT Deserve39.9%
OTT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
59.0%Possession41.0%
31Shots on Goal16
54.0%Faceoff Win %46.0%
18Hits25
17Blocked Shots13
8Takeaways6
12Giveaways18
2Penalty Minutes10



















