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MTL
3-4
MIN
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.63
MIN xG0.84
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%0.0
MIN Win%100.0
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve46.8%
MIN Deserve53.2%
MIN Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
40.0%Possession60.0%
20Shots on Goal24
53.4%Faceoff Win %46.6%
16Hits18
16Blocked Shots15
6Takeaways6
12Giveaways14
6Penalty Minutes2




















