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DET
2-0
COL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
DET xG1.25
COL xG0.88
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
DET Win%99.6
COL Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
DET Deserve57.4%
COL Deserve42.6%
DET Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
53.4%Possession46.6%
25Shots on Goal21
47.9%Faceoff Win %52.1%
27Hits29
17Blocked Shots20
5Takeaways2
10Giveaways16
4Penalty Minutes14

















