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VAN
2-6
UTA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VAN xG0.63
UTA xG0.62
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VAN Win%0.4
UTA Win%99.6
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VAN Deserve44.0%
UTA Deserve56.0%
UTA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
51.1%Possession48.9%
24Shots on Goal19
42.6%Faceoff Win %57.4%
21Hits13
10Blocked Shots12
6Takeaways3
19Giveaways13
14Penalty Minutes18





















