Back

TOR
4-2
CGY
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TOR xG0.71
CGY xG0.89
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TOR Win%99.6
CGY Win%0.4
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TOR Deserve52.5%
CGY Deserve47.5%
TOR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.8%Possession49.2%
22Shots on Goal30
62.2%Faceoff Win %37.8%
14Hits20
17Blocked Shots27
7Takeaways3
15Giveaways18
4Penalty Minutes2



















