Back
BUF
3-4
TBL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.88
TBL xG0.93
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%0.0
TBL Win%100.0
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve46.9%
TBL Deserve53.1%
TBL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
44.4%Possession55.6%
26Shots on Goal35
49.2%Faceoff Win %50.8%
13Hits26
11Blocked Shots10
9Takeaways6
22Giveaways15
4Penalty Minutes6
Live Feed
4P • 04:45Goal
J. Guentzel
Assists: N. Kucherov, J. Moser
snap
3P • 19:34Goal
D. Raddysh
Assists: N. Kucherov, B. Hagel
slap
3P • 14:53Goal
J. Doan
Assists: T. Thompson, R. Dahlin
deflected
3P • 08:53Goal
O. Bjorkstrand
Assists: D. Raddysh, N. Kucherov
snap
3P • 04:08Goal
M. Samuelsson
Assists: R. McLeod, J. Quinn
wrist
1P • 16:53Goal
M. Samuelsson
Unassisted
wrist
1P • 10:24Goal
N. Kucherov
Assists: J. Guentzel
wrist
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. ZuckerL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:10 | |
 P. KrebsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17:47 | |
 J. QuinnR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17:50 | |
 B. MalenstynL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 09:08 | |
 T. KozakC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:25 | |
 I. RosenR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 08:17 | |
 R. McLeodC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19:31 | |
 T. ThompsonC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 22:09 | |
 N. OstlundC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 | |
 A. TuchR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:38 | |
J. DoanR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:29 | |
 K. HeleniusC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13:47 | |
 B. ByramD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23:37 | |
M. SamuelssonD | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 24:01 | |
 O. PowerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:51 | |
 R. DahlinD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 27:47 | |
 Z. MetsaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:12 | |
 J. BrysonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:01 |