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OTT
3-4
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
OTT xG1.31
CAR xG0.85
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
OTT Win%9.8
CAR Win%90.2
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
OTT Deserve47.1%
CAR Deserve52.9%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
59.4%Possession40.6%
27Shots on Goal19
50.0%Faceoff Win %50.0%
20Hits27
11Blocked Shots18
7Takeaways5
16Giveaways11
4Penalty Minutes6




















