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TOR
5-2
EDM
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TOR xG0.80
EDM xG1.05
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TOR Win%99.6
EDM Win%0.4
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TOR Deserve51.8%
EDM Deserve48.2%
TOR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
51.3%Possession48.7%
27Shots on Goal36
53.7%Faceoff Win %46.3%
13Hits19
9Blocked Shots21
4Takeaways3
18Giveaways13
9Penalty Minutes21



















