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MTL
5-1
WPG
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.98
WPG xG1.39
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%99.6
WPG Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve60.4%
WPG Deserve39.6%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
39.8%Possession60.2%
27Shots on Goal37
55.0%Faceoff Win %45.0%
21Hits15
18Blocked Shots12
8Takeaways1
11Giveaways21
8Penalty Minutes4


















