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SJS
2-4
COL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
SJS xG0.71
COL xG1.29
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
SJS Win%0.4
COL Win%99.6
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
SJS Deserve39.2%
COL Deserve60.8%
COL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
47.1%Possession52.9%
25Shots on Goal42
39.3%Faceoff Win %60.7%
24Hits16
7Blocked Shots21
5Takeaways7
23Giveaways12
8Penalty Minutes8




















