Back

DET
1-4
UTA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
DET xG1.08
UTA xG0.85
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
DET Win%0.4
UTA Win%99.6
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
DET Deserve48.6%
UTA Deserve51.4%
UTA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
51.3%Possession48.7%
30Shots on Goal25
51.6%Faceoff Win %48.4%
24Hits15
17Blocked Shots7
4Takeaways3
12Giveaways9
11Penalty Minutes13





















