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STL
4-5
DAL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
STL xG0.67
DAL xG1.07
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
STL Win%1.5
DAL Win%98.5
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
STL Deserve49.7%
DAL Deserve50.3%
DAL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
41.5%Possession58.5%
18Shots on Goal28
46.8%Faceoff Win %53.2%
28Hits24
18Blocked Shots12
5Takeaways2
18Giveaways13
8Penalty Minutes10





















