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VAN
2-5
VGK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VAN xG0.53
VGK xG0.80
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VAN Win%0.8
VGK Win%99.2
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VAN Deserve45.3%
VGK Deserve54.7%
VGK Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
43.3%Possession56.7%
23Shots on Goal31
50.9%Faceoff Win %49.1%
21Hits18
11Blocked Shots9
5Takeaways5
19Giveaways20
2Penalty Minutes2






















