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PIT
5-2
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PIT xG0.89
BUF xG0.93
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PIT Win%99.6
BUF Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PIT Deserve52.0%
BUF Deserve48.0%
PIT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
47.4%Possession52.6%
32Shots on Goal27
45.5%Faceoff Win %54.5%
20Hits16
11Blocked Shots11
6Takeaways4
17Giveaways15
15Penalty Minutes11
Live Feed
3P • 19:46Goal
B. Kindel
Assists: C. Dewar
snap
3P • 15:33Goal
T. Novak
Assists: E. Chinakhov, E. Malkin
backhand
3P • 01:55Goal
T. Thompson
Assists: J. Quinn, R. Dahlin
wrist
2P • 07:44Goal
B. Kindel
Unassisted
wrist
1P • 18:47Goal
A. Hayes
Assists: A. Mantha, P. Wotherspoon
snap
1P • 09:18Goal
A. Hayes
Assists: I. Solovyov, R. McGroarty
snap
1P • 01:46Goal
J. Zucker
Assists: R. McLeod, B. Byram
wrist
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 R. McGroartyR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:01 | |
 K. HayesR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 07:07 | |
 J. BrazeauR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11:11 | |
 B. RustR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:31 | |
T. NovakC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:19 | |
 C. DewarC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15:41 | |
 A. ManthaR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:30 | |
 E. ChinakhovR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13:08 | |
 E. MalkinC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17:59 | |
B. KindelC | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17:27 | |
A. HayesR | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10:09 | |
 S. CrosbyC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 20:05 | |
 R. SheaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19:29 | |
 I. SolovyovD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:08 | |
 P. WotherspoonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23:37 | |
 E. KarlssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22:47 | |
 C. CliftonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17:19 | |
 B. KulakD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:44 |