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CAR
2-0
NYR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG0.97
NYR xG0.81
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%99.6
NYR Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve56.9%
NYR Deserve43.1%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
60.7%Possession39.3%
43Shots on Goal16
58.7%Faceoff Win %41.3%
11Hits27
22Blocked Shots11
5Takeaways4
18Giveaways15
4Penalty Minutes6

















