Back

BUF
2-1
NJD
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.78
NJD xG1.01
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%95.7
NJD Win%4.3
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve51.6%
NJD Deserve48.4%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
49.1%Possession50.9%
30Shots on Goal28
46.3%Faceoff Win %53.7%
21Hits24
13Blocked Shots11
4Takeaways4
18Giveaways17
9Penalty Minutes11


















