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TOR
2-4
TBL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TOR xG0.84
TBL xG1.14
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TOR Win%0.4
TBL Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TOR Deserve42.9%
TBL Deserve57.1%
TBL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.1%Possession51.9%
34Shots on Goal36
54.8%Faceoff Win %45.2%
18Hits17
11Blocked Shots17
7Takeaways3
15Giveaways9
8Penalty Minutes4




















