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COL
4-2
UTA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
COL xG0.98
UTA xG0.90
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
COL Win%99.6
UTA Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
COL Deserve49.1%
UTA Deserve50.9%
UTA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
47.2%Possession52.8%
26Shots on Goal30
39.4%Faceoff Win %60.6%
11Hits21
18Blocked Shots19
7Takeaways4
16Giveaways15
10Penalty Minutes6


















