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WPG
3-2
VAN
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
WPG xG1.01
VAN xG0.52
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
WPG Win%100.0
VAN Win%0.0
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
WPG Deserve56.6%
VAN Deserve43.4%
WPG Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.8%Possession49.2%
28Shots on Goal23
50.8%Faceoff Win %49.2%
20Hits24
23Blocked Shots9
3Takeaways6
16Giveaways16
2Penalty Minutes6



















