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CBJ
2-4
BOS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CBJ xG1.36
BOS xG0.91
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CBJ Win%0.4
BOS Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CBJ Deserve45.2%
BOS Deserve54.8%
BOS Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
52.6%Possession47.4%
40Shots on Goal23
41.2%Faceoff Win %58.8%
24Hits20
22Blocked Shots16
6Takeaways8
18Giveaways15
6Penalty Minutes2




















