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TOR
1-5
FLA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TOR xG0.76
FLA xG1.25
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TOR Win%0.4
FLA Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TOR Deserve41.5%
FLA Deserve58.5%
FLA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.2%Possession53.8%
30Shots on Goal37
44.2%Faceoff Win %55.8%
21Hits19
10Blocked Shots13
4Takeaways3
15Giveaways14
8Penalty Minutes8





















