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CGY
4-1
SJS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CGY xG0.76
SJS xG1.14
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CGY Win%99.6
SJS Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CGY Deserve47.7%
SJS Deserve52.3%
SJS Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.7%Possession45.3%
29Shots on Goal35
50.9%Faceoff Win %49.1%
16Hits33
8Blocked Shots25
3Takeaways4
21Giveaways16
6Penalty Minutes6


















