Back

BUF
3-2
FLA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.98
FLA xG1.20
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%98.3
FLA Win%1.7
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve49.2%
FLA Deserve50.8%
FLA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
52.2%Possession47.8%
39Shots on Goal30
37.3%Faceoff Win %62.7%
14Hits20
17Blocked Shots18
7Takeaways3
15Giveaways16
8Penalty Minutes6



















