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VGK
2-3
WSH
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VGK xG1.19
WSH xG0.78
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VGK Win%4.2
WSH Win%95.8
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VGK Deserve48.2%
WSH Deserve51.8%
WSH Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.4%Possession51.6%
26Shots on Goal30
48.1%Faceoff Win %51.9%
20Hits17
19Blocked Shots12
3Takeaways4
20Giveaways19
10Penalty Minutes6



















