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PIT
2-3
NYR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PIT xG0.94
NYR xG1.20
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PIT Win%0.0
NYR Win%100.0
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PIT Deserve45.3%
NYR Deserve54.7%
NYR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
53.0%Possession47.0%
35Shots on Goal27
23.1%Faceoff Win %76.9%
15Hits28
14Blocked Shots21
6Takeaways4
15Giveaways16
4Penalty Minutes16




















