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BUF
6-2
TBL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.85
TBL xG1.11
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%100.0
TBL Win%0.0
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve53.4%
TBL Deserve46.6%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
53.3%Possession46.7%
35Shots on Goal38
48.4%Faceoff Win %51.6%
16Hits28
5Blocked Shots14
2Takeaways6
16Giveaways11
12Penalty Minutes28



















