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DET
2-5
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
DET xG0.56
CAR xG0.90
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
DET Win%0.4
CAR Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
DET Deserve39.6%
CAR Deserve60.4%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
52.7%Possession47.3%
29Shots on Goal36
45.6%Faceoff Win %54.4%
26Hits20
7Blocked Shots24
2Takeaways8
14Giveaways20
10Penalty Minutes4






















