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NJD
3-1
STL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NJD xG0.89
STL xG0.54
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NJD Win%99.6
STL Win%0.4
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NJD Deserve50.6%
STL Deserve49.4%
NJD Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.0%Possession46.0%
33Shots on Goal26
50.9%Faceoff Win %49.1%
12Hits29
12Blocked Shots13
8Takeaways4
19Giveaways12
6Penalty Minutes4


















