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VGK
0-5
PIT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VGK xG0.88
PIT xG0.81
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VGK Win%0.4
PIT Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VGK Deserve46.1%
PIT Deserve53.9%
PIT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
51.0%Possession49.0%
22Shots on Goal22
65.4%Faceoff Win %34.6%
28Hits19
20Blocked Shots17
6Takeaways6
16Giveaways23
13Penalty Minutes9






















