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STL
3-1
MIN
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
STL xG0.49
MIN xG0.74
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
STL Win%99.6
MIN Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
STL Deserve53.2%
MIN Deserve46.8%
STL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
47.5%Possession52.5%
24Shots on Goal23
49.0%Faceoff Win %51.0%
19Hits13
12Blocked Shots9
4Takeaways7
17Giveaways19
4Penalty Minutes2


















