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CBJ
5-4
NYR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CBJ xG0.73
NYR xG1.12
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CBJ Win%100.0
NYR Win%0.0
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CBJ Deserve46.4%
NYR Deserve53.6%
NYR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.8%Possession49.2%
29Shots on Goal33
48.5%Faceoff Win %51.5%
15Hits27
13Blocked Shots22
3Takeaways6
13Giveaways11
2Penalty Minutes2




















