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CAR
1-2
SEA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG0.91
SEA xG0.44
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%5.5
SEA Win%94.5
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve48.5%
SEA Deserve51.5%
SEA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
56.3%Possession43.8%
36Shots on Goal15
48.0%Faceoff Win %52.0%
13Hits31
25Blocked Shots6
5Takeaways6
20Giveaways17
6Penalty Minutes2



















