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COL
4-2
LAK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
COL xG1.07
LAK xG0.57
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
COL Win%99.6
LAK Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
COL Deserve51.7%
LAK Deserve48.3%
COL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
52.8%Possession47.2%
39Shots on Goal21
53.6%Faceoff Win %46.4%
13Hits36
24Blocked Shots11
2Takeaways5
23Giveaways13
4Penalty Minutes4



















