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PIT
1-2
BOS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PIT xG0.76
BOS xG1.10
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PIT Win%27.5
BOS Win%72.5
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PIT Deserve46.7%
BOS Deserve53.3%
BOS Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
56.5%Possession43.5%
35Shots on Goal28
33.3%Faceoff Win %66.7%
24Hits23
13Blocked Shots23
4Takeaways4
12Giveaways17
6Penalty Minutes8



















