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VGK
2-3
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VGK xG1.25
BUF xG0.96
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VGK Win%9.8
BUF Win%90.2
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VGK Deserve47.5%
BUF Deserve52.5%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
51.3%Possession48.7%
29Shots on Goal28
44.3%Faceoff Win %55.7%
28Hits15
11Blocked Shots12
5Takeaways9
14Giveaways15
2Penalty Minutes2




















