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DAL
6-1
CGY
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
DAL xG1.35
CGY xG0.69
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
DAL Win%99.6
CGY Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
DAL Deserve63.9%
CGY Deserve36.1%
DAL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
49.6%Possession50.4%
35Shots on Goal21
60.0%Faceoff Win %40.0%
16Hits18
25Blocked Shots14
5Takeaways5
16Giveaways22
8Penalty Minutes12


















