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TBL
1-5
MIN
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TBL xG0.76
MIN xG0.68
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TBL Win%0.4
MIN Win%99.6
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TBL Deserve42.9%
MIN Deserve57.1%
MIN Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
49.5%Possession50.5%
25Shots on Goal22
48.1%Faceoff Win %51.9%
25Hits22
16Blocked Shots14
3Takeaways4
9Giveaways11
20Penalty Minutes8






















