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MTL
5-7
SJS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.98
SJS xG0.72
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%0.4
SJS Win%99.6
9 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve48.7%
SJS Deserve51.3%
SJS Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
60.8%Possession39.2%
36Shots on Goal28
54.7%Faceoff Win %45.3%
20Hits21
12Blocked Shots19
4Takeaways6
13Giveaways17
12Penalty Minutes14
























