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STL
3-2
SEA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
STL xG1.04
SEA xG0.99
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
STL Win%98.7
SEA Win%1.3
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
STL Deserve49.1%
SEA Deserve50.9%
SEA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
41.9%Possession58.1%
27Shots on Goal36
50.9%Faceoff Win %49.1%
18Hits21
14Blocked Shots13
4Takeaways6
13Giveaways13
8Penalty Minutes4



















