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TOR
2-6
NYR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TOR xG0.93
NYR xG1.27
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TOR Win%0.4
NYR Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TOR Deserve39.5%
NYR Deserve60.5%
NYR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
61.0%Possession39.0%
32Shots on Goal24
53.6%Faceoff Win %46.4%
27Hits22
9Blocked Shots27
3Takeaways5
12Giveaways13
4Penalty Minutes2






















