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FLA
2-4
CBJ
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
FLA xG1.31
CBJ xG0.73
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
FLA Win%0.4
CBJ Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
FLA Deserve50.4%
CBJ Deserve49.6%
FLA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.8%Possession49.2%
28Shots on Goal28
48.0%Faceoff Win %52.0%
19Hits16
21Blocked Shots8
3Takeaways3
15Giveaways13
8Penalty Minutes8




















