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OTT
4-1
CGY
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
OTT xG1.15
CGY xG0.52
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
OTT Win%99.6
CGY Win%0.4
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
OTT Deserve60.9%
CGY Deserve39.1%
OTT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
58.8%Possession41.2%
37Shots on Goal20
56.1%Faceoff Win %43.9%
18Hits18
18Blocked Shots14
5Takeaways3
13Giveaways18
6Penalty Minutes8


















