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FLA
3-1
DET
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
FLA xG0.59
DET xG1.13
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
FLA Win%99.6
DET Win%0.4
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
FLA Deserve47.4%
DET Deserve52.6%
DET Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.1%Possession53.9%
23Shots on Goal29
32.0%Faceoff Win %68.0%
29Hits11
11Blocked Shots18
4Takeaways5
14Giveaways12
8Penalty Minutes6


















